Research report 2019 - Max Planck Institute for the Study of Crime, Security and Law

Predictive Policing – an evaluation study

Gerstner, Dominik
Kriminologische Abteilung (Hans-Jörg Albrecht)
Stopping burglaries before they happen? At least this is how commercial providers advertise their Predictive Policing software. The Max Planck Institute for Criminal Law conducted an evaluation study to find out whether or not this works. Such software was tested by the police in Baden-Wuerttemberg, and a pilot study assessed whether a higher risk of future residential burglaries could be predicted for certain residential areas. This is possible to a certain extent, but the crime prevention effects are moderate. The use of such software is the subject of controversial debate within the police.

For the full text, see the German version.

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